Group One Prix de l’Arc de Triomphe 2024 Guide

Alex Dudley | @@Alex_Dudz_

Longchamp - October 05 2024
Longchamp 14:20
1(1)
Cristian Demuro

Zarakem

J: Cristian Demuro
T: J Reynier
Cristian Demuro

Zarakem

bet365
£10.00 Returns £510.00
50/1
william_hill
£10.00 Returns £510.00
50/1
betano
£10.00 Returns £340.00
33/1
betfair
£10.00 Returns £340.00
33/1
betfred
£10.00 Returns £340.00
33/1
betMGM
£10.00 Returns £340.00
33/1
betuk
£10.00 Returns £340.00
33/1
betway
£10.00 Returns £340.00
33/1
coral
£10.00 Returns £340.00
33/1
grosvenor
£10.00 Returns £340.00
33/1
ladbrokes
£10.00 Returns £340.00
33/1
paddy_power
£10.00 Returns £340.00
33/1
parimatch
£10.00 Returns £340.00
33/1
skybet
£10.00 Returns £290.00
28/1
50/1
Age: 4
Weight: 9-5
OR: N/A
Days: 46

Jerome Reynier’s runner in the race this weekend is Zarakem, with Cristian Demuro taking the ride.

The four-year-old will be among the outsiders. He pushed Auguste Rodin the closest earlier in the season in the G1 Prince of Wales’s Stakes, before only finishing eleventh of 13 in the G1 Juddmonte International.

Easily beaten over a mile and two in April, but stayed on well on heavy ground at Longchamp prior to that in the G2 Prix d’Harcourt.

DateCourseDistanceTypeWeightPosition
21/08/24YOR10.5GF9-811
19/06/24ASC10GF9-22
28/04/24LON10.5VSft9-28
07/04/24LON10Hy9-01
15/10/23LON11GS8-106
Longchamp - October 05 2024
Longchamp 14:20
2(13)
William Buick

Haya Zark

J: William Buick
T: Adrien Fouassier
William Buick

Haya Zark

bet365
£10.00 Returns £810.00
80/1
betfair
£10.00 Returns £810.00
80/1
paddy_power
£10.00 Returns £810.00
80/1
william_hill
£10.00 Returns £810.00
80/1
betano
£10.00 Returns £670.00
66/1
betfred
£10.00 Returns £670.00
66/1
betMGM
£10.00 Returns £670.00
66/1
betuk
£10.00 Returns £670.00
66/1
betway
£10.00 Returns £670.00
66/1
coral
£10.00 Returns £670.00
66/1
grosvenor
£10.00 Returns £670.00
66/1
ladbrokes
£10.00 Returns £670.00
66/1
parimatch
£10.00 Returns £670.00
66/1
skybet
£10.00 Returns £510.00
50/1
80/1
Age: 5
Weight: 9-5
OR: N/A
Days: 28

William Buick has been booked to take the ride on Haya Zark for trainer Adrien Fouassier on Sunday.

The five-year-old returned from a lengthy 105-day break in early September to finish second over a mile and two in Group Three company. Well beaten in the Arc last year when finishing 14th of 15 at Longchamp. Difficult to make a case for.

DateCourseDistanceTypeWeightPosition
08/09/24LON10Sft9-62
26/05/24LON9.5Sft9-23
28/04/24LON10.5VSft9-21
16/03/24SAI10Hy9-01
29/10/23LON15.5Hy9-410
Longchamp - October 05 2024
Longchamp 14:20
3(2)
Rene Piechulek

Fantastic Moon

J: Rene Piechulek
T: Frau S Steinberg
Rene Piechulek

Fantastic Moon

bet365
£10.00 Returns £230.00
22/1
william_hill
£10.00 Returns £230.00
22/1
betano
£10.00 Returns £210.00
20/1
betfair
£10.00 Returns £210.00
20/1
betfred
£10.00 Returns £210.00
20/1
betMGM
£10.00 Returns £210.00
20/1
betuk
£10.00 Returns £210.00
20/1
betway
£10.00 Returns £210.00
20/1
coral
£10.00 Returns £210.00
20/1
grosvenor
£10.00 Returns £210.00
20/1
ladbrokes
£10.00 Returns £210.00
20/1
paddy_power
£10.00 Returns £210.00
20/1
parimatch
£10.00 Returns £210.00
20/1
skybet
£10.00 Returns £210.00
20/1
22/1
Age: 4
Weight: 9-5
OR: N/A
Days: 35

Frau Steinberg’s runner this weekend is Fantastic Moon, who will have Rene Piechulek aboard. The four-year-old warmed up for the Arc with a strong performance over a mile and four in the G1 Prix von Baden.

Has form over course and distance after beating Feed The Flame by two lengths last year. However, was subsequently well beaten by Ace Impact. Interestingly, but looks to have limitations.

DateCourseDistanceTypeWeightPosition
01/09/24BAD12Gd9-61
28/07/24MUN10Sft9-62
16/06/24COL11GS9-41
28/04/24LON10.5VSft9-29
31/03/24HOP10GS9-42
Longchamp - October 05 2024
Longchamp 14:20
4(9)
Yutaka Take

Al Riffa

J: Yutaka Take
T: Joseph Patrick O'Brien
Yutaka Take

Al Riffa

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£10.00 Returns £100.00
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£10.00 Returns £100.00
9/1
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£10.00 Returns £100.00
9/1
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£10.00 Returns £100.00
9/1
william_hill
£10.00 Returns £100.00
9/1
bet365
£10.00 Returns £95.00
17/2
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£10.00 Returns £95.00
17/2
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£10.00 Returns £95.00
17/2
grosvenor
£10.00 Returns £95.00
17/2
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£10.00 Returns £95.00
17/2
9/1
Age: 4
Weight: 9-5
OR: N/A
Days: 56

Joseph O’Brien’s Arc hopeful comes in the form of Al Riffa, who will have Japanese jockey Yutaka Take aboard.

The four-year-old was just a length behind City Of Troy in the G1 Coral Eclipse, before resuming winning ways with an impressive display over a mile and four in the G1 Preis von Berlin.

Clearly highly regarded, and was saved from a bid in this last year after finishing under a length behind Ace Impact in the G2 Prix Guillaume d’Ornano. Major chance.

DateCourseDistanceTypeWeightPosition
11/08/24HOP12Gd9-61
06/07/24SAN10Sft9-92
08/06/24SAR9.5Fm8-66
28/04/24LON10.5VSft9-24
15/08/23DEA10GS9-22
Longchamp - October 05 2024
Longchamp 14:20
5(12)
Mickael Barzalona

Sevenna's Knight

J: Mickael Barzalona
T: A Fabre
Mickael Barzalona

Sevenna's Knight

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66/1
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£10.00 Returns £670.00
66/1
coral
£10.00 Returns £670.00
66/1
ladbrokes
£10.00 Returns £670.00
66/1
paddy_power
£10.00 Returns £670.00
66/1
parimatch
£10.00 Returns £670.00
66/1
william_hill
£10.00 Returns £670.00
66/1
betfred
£10.00 Returns £510.00
50/1
betMGM
£10.00 Returns £510.00
50/1
betuk
£10.00 Returns £510.00
50/1
grosvenor
£10.00 Returns £510.00
50/1
skybet
£10.00 Returns £510.00
50/1
66/1
Age: 4
Weight: 9-5
OR: N/A
Days: 28

An Andre Fabre contender in the Arc this year comes in the form of Sevenna’s Knight.

The four-year-old has won over a mile and seven on three occasions already this season, including most recently at Longchamp when beating Harbour Wind by two lengths.

However, could have questions to answer against pacey types after finishing only sixth over a mile and four in June. Stamina test would suit.

DateCourseDistanceTypeWeightPosition
08/09/24LON15.5Sft9-41
30/06/24SAI12GS9-26
26/05/24LON15.5Sft9-01
28/04/24LON15VSft9-01
30/03/24MEY16Gd8-106
Longchamp - October 05 2024
Longchamp 14:20
6(14)
Christophe Soumillon

Continuous

J: Christophe Soumillon
T: A P O'Brien
Christophe Soumillon

Continuous

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33/1
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33/1
paddy_power
£10.00 Returns £340.00
33/1
parimatch
£10.00 Returns £340.00
33/1
william_hill
£10.00 Returns £340.00
33/1
bet365
£10.00 Returns £290.00
28/1
betMGM
£10.00 Returns £290.00
28/1
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£10.00 Returns £290.00
28/1
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£10.00 Returns £290.00
28/1
grosvenor
£10.00 Returns £290.00
28/1
betfred
£10.00 Returns £260.00
25/1
skybet
£10.00 Returns £260.00
25/1
33/1
Age: 4
Weight: 9-5
OR: N/A
Days: 21

Aidan O’Brien’s 2023 St Leger winner will be the ride of Christophe Soumillon this weekend.

The four-year-old was a disappointing favourite in the G2 Prix Foy last month, finishing only third of five behind Iresine.

Major improvement will be needed over a mile and four to play a role in the Arc this weekend. Confidence could be taken from his fifth in the race 12 months ago.

DateCourseDistanceTypeWeightPosition
15/09/24LON12Sft9-23
17/08/24CUR10Gd9-91
22/06/24ASC12GF9-35
01/10/23LON12GS8-135
16/09/23DON14.5Sft9-31
Longchamp - October 05 2024
Longchamp 14:20
7(3)
Rossa Ryan

Bluestocking

J: Rossa Ryan
T: Ralph Beckett
Rossa Ryan

Bluestocking

bet365
£10.00 Returns £120.00
11/1
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£10.00 Returns £120.00
11/1
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£10.00 Returns £120.00
11/1
ladbrokes
£10.00 Returns £120.00
11/1
parimatch
£10.00 Returns £120.00
11/1
william_hill
£10.00 Returns £120.00
11/1
betfair
£10.00 Returns £110.00
10/1
betfred
£10.00 Returns £110.00
10/1
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£10.00 Returns £110.00
10/1
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£10.00 Returns £110.00
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£10.00 Returns £110.00
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£10.00 Returns £110.00
10/1
paddy_power
£10.00 Returns £110.00
10/1
skybet
£10.00 Returns £110.00
10/1
11/1
Age: 4
Weight: 9-2
OR: N/A
Days: 21

Female runners have a 41% win rate in the Arc, and Bluestocking’s hefty supplement fee shows clear confidence among connections.

The four-year-old has been in excellent form this season, finishing second over a mile and four behind Goliath in the G1 King George VI and Queen Elizabeth Stakes.

Showed excellent ability over course and distance last time out to battle to victory over Aventure in the G1 Prix Vermeille. Solid chance.

DateCourseDistanceTypeWeightPosition
15/09/24LON12Sft9-41
21/08/24YOR10.5GF9-54
27/07/24ASC12GF9-62
29/06/24CUR10Y/Sft9-121
16/05/24YOR10.5Gd9-21
Longchamp - October 05 2024
Longchamp 14:20
8(16)
Alexis Pouchin

Mqse De Sevigne

J: Alexis Pouchin
T: A Fabre
Alexis Pouchin

Mqse De Sevigne

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25/1
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ladbrokes
£10.00 Returns £260.00
25/1
paddy_power
£10.00 Returns £260.00
25/1
parimatch
£10.00 Returns £260.00
25/1
william_hill
£10.00 Returns £260.00
25/1
betMGM
£10.00 Returns £230.00
22/1
betuk
£10.00 Returns £230.00
22/1
grosvenor
£10.00 Returns £230.00
22/1
skybet
£10.00 Returns £230.00
22/1
bet365
£10.00 Returns £210.00
20/1
betfred
£10.00 Returns £210.00
20/1
25/1
Age: 5
Weight: 9-2
OR: N/A
Days: 49

Mqse De Sevigne is a runner from the Andre Fabre stable this weekend, and she has looked excellent over shorter trips this year.

A fourth straight win in 2024 was achieved at Deauville over a mile and two in August, beating American Sonja by a head to win the G1 Prix Jean Romanet.

The step up in trip is a big question, but Sabre’s winning most record in the race ensures respect.

DateCourseDistanceTypeWeightPosition
18/08/24DEA10GS9-01
28/07/24DEA8GS9-41
26/05/24LON9.5Sft8-131
14/04/24LON9.5VSft9-11
07/10/23NMK8GF9-52
Longchamp - October 05 2024
Longchamp 14:20
9(8)
Ronan Thomas

Look De Vega

J: Ronan Thomas
T: C & Y Lerner
Ronan Thomas

Look De Vega

betfair
£10.00 Returns £75.00
13/2
paddy_power
£10.00 Returns £75.00
13/2
william_hill
£10.00 Returns £75.00
13/2
bet365
£10.00 Returns £70.00
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£10.00 Returns £70.00
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£10.00 Returns £70.00
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£10.00 Returns £70.00
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£10.00 Returns £70.00
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£10.00 Returns £70.00
6/1
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£10.00 Returns £70.00
6/1
ladbrokes
£10.00 Returns £70.00
6/1
parimatch
£10.00 Returns £70.00
6/1
skybet
£10.00 Returns £65.00
11/2
betfred
£10.00 Returns £50.00
4/1
13/2
Age: 3
Weight: 8-13
OR: N/A
Days: 21

Look De Vega is a solid chance in the betting for Carlos and Yann Lerner. The three-year-old was the ante-post favourite for the Arc before falling to a shock defeat in the G2 Prix Niel.

Was emphatic in wins over shorter before that defeat, and reports indicate that he has been tearing down the house with his work at home.

DateCourseDistanceTypeWeightPosition
15/09/24LON12Sft9-23
02/06/24CHA10.5Hy9-21
05/05/24LON10VSft9-01
25/11/23FNT9VSft9-21
Longchamp - October 05 2024
Longchamp 14:20
10(11)
Ryusei Sakai

Shin Emperor

J: Ryusei Sakai
T: Yoshito Yahagi
Ryusei Sakai

Shin Emperor

bet365
£10.00 Returns £75.00
13/2
betfair
£10.00 Returns £75.00
13/2
paddy_power
£10.00 Returns £75.00
13/2
william_hill
£10.00 Returns £75.00
13/2
betano
£10.00 Returns £70.00
6/1
betfred
£10.00 Returns £70.00
6/1
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£10.00 Returns £70.00
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£10.00 Returns £70.00
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£10.00 Returns £70.00
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£10.00 Returns £70.00
6/1
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£10.00 Returns £70.00
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£10.00 Returns £70.00
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£10.00 Returns £70.00
6/1
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£10.00 Returns £70.00
6/1
13/2
Age: 3
Weight: 8-13
OR: N/A
Days: 22

Japanese hopes hinge on Shin Emperor for trainer Yoshito Yahagi this weekend. The three-year-old was last seen pushing Economics the closest in the G1 Irish Champion Stakes.

Has tackled a mile and four just one time previously, finishing third of 17 in the G1 Japanese Derby. Market has confidence, but little form to offer weight to the argument.

DateCourseDistanceTypeWeightPosition
14/09/24LEO10Gd9-33
26/05/24TOK12GF9-03
14/04/24NAK10GF9-05
03/03/24NAK10GF9-02
28/12/23NAK10GF8-112
Longchamp - October 05 2024
Longchamp 14:20
11(15)
Oisin Murphy

Sunway

J: Oisin Murphy
T: David Menuisier
Oisin Murphy

Sunway

bet365
£10.00 Returns £260.00
25/1
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25/1
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25/1
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£10.00 Returns £260.00
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£10.00 Returns £230.00
22/1
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£10.00 Returns £230.00
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£10.00 Returns £230.00
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£10.00 Returns £230.00
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£10.00 Returns £230.00
22/1
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£10.00 Returns £230.00
22/1
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£10.00 Returns £230.00
22/1
betano
£10.00 Returns £210.00
20/1
parimatch
£10.00 Returns £210.00
20/1
skybet
£10.00 Returns £190.00
18/1
25/1
Age: 3
Weight: 8-13
OR: N/A
Days: 22

Oisin Murphy takes the ride on Sunway this weekend for trainer David Menuisier.

The three-year-old was well beaten by Look De Vega over a mile and two earlier in the season, before showing much better form to finish second in the G1 Irish Derby.

That was followed by a fourth in the G1 King George and Queen Elizabeth Stakes, and an encouraging third in the G1 St Leger. May be slightly overlooked in the market.

DateCourseDistanceTypeWeightPosition
14/09/24DON14.5Gd9-33
27/07/24ASC12GF8-124
30/06/24CUR12Gd9-22
02/06/24CHA10.5Hy9-27
06/05/24SAI10.5VSft9-22
Longchamp - October 05 2024
Longchamp 14:20
12(7)
Ioritz Mendizabal

Delius

J: Ioritz Mendizabal
T: J-C Rouget
Ioritz Mendizabal

Delius

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16/1
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£10.00 Returns £170.00
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£10.00 Returns £170.00
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£10.00 Returns £150.00
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£10.00 Returns £150.00
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£10.00 Returns £150.00
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skybet
£10.00 Returns £130.00
12/1
16/1
Age: 3
Weight: 8-13
OR: N/A
Days: 21

Iortiz Mendizabal takes the ride on Delius in the Arc this weekend. The three-year-old has been kept fresh for the race, returning from a 64-day break to split Sosie and Look De Vega in the G2 Prix Niel.

Has more form to find on the winner that day after finishing third on soft ground at Longchamp behind the same rival in July. Goodish ground would make him interesting.

DateCourseDistanceTypeWeightPosition
15/09/24LON12Sft9-22
13/07/24LON12Sft9-23
16/06/24CHA12GS9-21
11/05/24CHA12GS9-01
07/04/24LON10.5Hy9-21
Longchamp - October 05 2024
Longchamp 14:20
13(5)
Maxime Guyon

Sosie

J: Maxime Guyon
T: A Fabre
Maxime Guyon

Sosie

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£10.00 Returns £55.00
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£10.00 Returns £55.00
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£10.00 Returns £55.00
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£10.00 Returns £55.00
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£10.00 Returns £50.00
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£10.00 Returns £50.00
4/1
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£10.00 Returns £50.00
4/1
9/2
Age: 3
Weight: 8-13
OR: N/A
Days: 21

Sosie was the favourite in the betting earlier this week for Andre Fabre, and holds excellent claims.

Was beaten over a mile and two by Look De Vega in June, but reversed that form in excellent fashion in the G2 Prix Niel last time out.

Has won on both starts over a mile and four, with both coming at Longchamp. Not yet reached his ceiling, and could easily go off favourite this weekend.

DateCourseDistanceTypeWeightPosition
15/09/24LON12Sft9-21
13/07/24LON12Sft9-21
02/06/24CHA10.5Hy9-23
25/04/24LON11Sft9-01
27/10/23CHA9Hy9-02
Longchamp - October 05 2024
Longchamp 14:20
14(10)
Ryan Moore

Los Angeles

J: Ryan Moore
T: A P O'Brien
Ryan Moore

Los Angeles

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£10.00 Returns £60.00
5/1
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£10.00 Returns £55.00
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£10.00 Returns £55.00
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£10.00 Returns £55.00
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£10.00 Returns £55.00
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£10.00 Returns £55.00
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£10.00 Returns £55.00
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£10.00 Returns £55.00
9/2
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£10.00 Returns £55.00
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£10.00 Returns £50.00
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£10.00 Returns £50.00
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4/1
5/1
Age: 3
Weight: 8-13
OR: N/A
Days: 22

Aidan O’Brien and Ryan Moore haven’t teamed up for Arc glory since Found in 2016. Los Angeles is their leading chance this year.

The three-year-old was last seen finishing fourth in the G1 Irish Champion Stakes, but was excellent prior to that when landing the G2 Great Voltigeur Stakes over a mile and four at York.

Was also a winner over the same trip when landing the G1 Irish Derby. Could arguably have the best form lines in the book.

DateCourseDistanceTypeWeightPosition
14/09/24LEO10Gd9-34
21/08/24YOR12GF9-71
30/06/24CUR12Gd9-21
01/06/24EPS12GS9-23
12/05/24LEO10Gd9-51
Longchamp - October 05 2024
Longchamp 14:20
15(6)
Tom Marquand

Survie

J: Tom Marquand
T: N Clement
Tom Marquand

Survie

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66/1
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£10.00 Returns £670.00
66/1
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£10.00 Returns £670.00
66/1
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£10.00 Returns £670.00
66/1
paddy_power
£10.00 Returns £670.00
66/1
parimatch
£10.00 Returns £670.00
66/1
william_hill
£10.00 Returns £670.00
66/1
betMGM
£10.00 Returns £510.00
50/1
betuk
£10.00 Returns £510.00
50/1
grosvenor
£10.00 Returns £510.00
50/1
skybet
£10.00 Returns £510.00
50/1
66/1
Age: 3
Weight: 8-9
OR: N/A
Days: 21

Survie will be a huge outsider in the betting for the Arc this weekend. She was a winner over course and distance in July, beating Mosaique by over a length.

However, her form was rocked when finishing nearly ten lengths behind Bluestocking in the G1 Prix Vermeille last month. Lots to prove on the back of that effort.

DateCourseDistanceTypeWeightPosition
15/09/24LON12Sft8-107
13/07/24LON12GS8-111
16/06/24CHA10.5GS9-02
12/05/24LON10Sft9-03
07/04/24LON9Hy9-03
Longchamp - October 05 2024
Longchamp 14:20
16(4)
Stephane Pasquier

Aventure

J: Stephane Pasquier
T: C Ferland
Stephane Pasquier

Aventure

bet365
£10.00 Returns £230.00
22/1
william_hill
£10.00 Returns £230.00
22/1
betfair
£10.00 Returns £210.00
20/1
paddy_power
£10.00 Returns £210.00
20/1
betway
£10.00 Returns £190.00
18/1
betano
£10.00 Returns £170.00
16/1
betfred
£10.00 Returns £170.00
16/1
betMGM
£10.00 Returns £170.00
16/1
betuk
£10.00 Returns £170.00
16/1
coral
£10.00 Returns £170.00
16/1
grosvenor
£10.00 Returns £170.00
16/1
ladbrokes
£10.00 Returns £170.00
16/1
parimatch
£10.00 Returns £170.00
16/1
skybet
£10.00 Returns £150.00
14/1
22/1
Age: 3
Weight: 8-9
OR: N/A
Days: 21

Aventure is the runner for trainer Christophe Ferland this weekend. The three-year-old filly has some decent form in the book, winning over an extended mile and four on soft ground in the G2 Prix de Pomone.

Was narrowly denied success in Group One company by Bluestocking on her previous outing.

Hard to see that form being reversed, as the winner was harder through the finishing line. But, not without an each-way chance.

DateCourseDistanceTypeWeightPosition
15/09/24LON12Sft8-102
17/08/24DEA12.5Sft8-91
16/06/24CHA10.5GS9-04
02/06/24CHA12Hy9-01
05/05/24LON11VSft8-112