Keeneland Trends

Keeneland's main track on the dirt has been known to see its winners come from the lower stalls with races on the dirt between five and six furlongs seeing 15% of its winners coming from horses drawn in stall one.

For races over a mile and further it is a very similar thing with the lower draws seeing a better win rate than that off the horses that have to go round the rest of the field, with the horses from stall one having a 16% win rate.

It has been proven on the dirt over the years at Keeneland that horses should not be staying off the pace in sprint contests should be staying at least within two lengths of the leader as being further off the pace than that will leave them with to much to do.

In races over a mile and further it is highlighted that horses do not stay more than four lengths off the pace of the race.

Overall on the dirt track it favours the horses that are drawn in stalls 1-3 with a definite draw bias and the style of the dirt track does not go well for horses that come off the pace, you should be looking for horses that like to be up the front from the outset.

Most of the feature races across the Friday and Saturday come on the turf and for the American runners it is worth noting that the Keeneland track is very much a horses for courses style track with many horses that are able to win at the tricky track, come back to win on it again during their careers.

Like the dirt track, the turf also has a course bias with being drawn on the inside being the most favourable and any horse drawn in stall 11 or wider, very much struggling to get involved.

However for the sprint contests it tends to favour the horses on the wider stalls, with not many sprint races taking place at the track and it has worked out that the outer stalls have seen the more winning horses.